ABOVE AVERAGE ACTIVE HURRICANE SEASON: Hurricane season officially starts this Saturday June 1st. NOAA is calling for between 17 and 25 named storms. NOAA expects between 8 and 13 Hurricanes and 4 to 7 major hurricanes. Colorado State University released its predictions earlier this year calling for 23 named storms, 11 Hurricanes and 5 major Hurricanes. I come up with some predictions of my own based on water temperatures and Enso phase. I think there will be between 22 and 30 named storms, between 8 and 13 Hurricanes and between 4 and 8 major Hurricanes. I think we will see more storms that rapidly intensify due to the warm water temperatures. The main reasons for these aggressive predictions is due to La Niña and the extremely warm water temperatures. The Main Development region of the Atlantic Ocean is already seeing temperatures that are more typical of Mid August here in May. The average is 14 named storms, 7 Hurricanes and 3 major Hurricanes. In 2023 there were 20 named storms but only 1 had a big impact in the United States. The important factors is of course where storms track and the steering pattern. This year La Niña is expected to be present and that means weaker vertical wind shear and very warm water temperatures. Wind shear can tear storms apart but often during La Niña there isn't much wind shear. The most active seasons on record is 2020 with 30 named storms and 2005 had 28 named storms. I'll provide updates this Hurricane season and track every storm closely with in depth analysis. No Matter The Weather I’ve Got You Covered!
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